I had read somewhere in passing that the most popular film, i.e. the one seen by the most people, usually won the Oscar for Best Picture. According to the highly scientific poll in the sidebar of my blog, this year's Oscar went to the film with the least amount of viewers: The Hurt Locker. If this bit of conventional wisdom was indeed predictive, Avatar would have won.
Did you watch the Oscars last night? Sandra Bullock gave a great acceptance speech, didn't she?